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jueves, 7 de noviembre de 2024

Thursday Briefing: Welcome to ‘Trump’s America’

What Trump's victory means for the world
Morning Briefing: Europe Edition

November 7, 2024

Good morning. Today's special edition is on what another Trump presidency means for America and the world.

A photo of Donald Trump dressed in a blue jacket and red tie smiling onstage, with American flags in the background.
Donald Trump on election night in West Palm Beach, Florida. Doug Mills/The New York Times

Welcome to 'Trump's America'

Donald Trump survived a criminal conviction, indictments, an assassin's bullet, accusations of authoritarianism and an unprecedented switch of his opponent. Now, in an astonishing political comeback, he will be the next president of the United States. He is the first former leader in more than 120 years to be elected for a second nonconsecutive term.

Trump's defiant plans to upend the country's political system held appeal to tens of millions of voters. He picked up support among Latino and Black working-class voters, giving the Republican Party hope for a new way to win in a diversifying nation.

Some voters saw him as their only choice to combat what they saw as out-of-control immigration or to bolster the U.S. economy. Others were compelled by the power of his campaign. But many Americans still found him unappealing, and his victory may say more about the country's dissatisfaction with Vice President Kamala Harris and the Democratic Party.

Trump's electoral victory is shaping up to be substantial: He won all five of the battleground states that have been called so far, he leads by comfortable margins in the other two, and he is on track to become the first Republican to win the popular vote in 20 years. The Republicans also took control of the Senate, which will allow Trump to more easily carry out his priorities. Control of the House has yet to be determined.

Legal troubles: Trump will be able to dispense with federal criminal charges against him while postponing or derailing the state and local cases that threatened to send him to prison and wipe out his wealth. Jack Smith, the special counsel who charged Trump, has already begun discussions about winding down his cases.

Concession speech: Harris conceded the race yesterday afternoon. "It is OK to feel sad and disappointed, but please know it is going to be OK," she told tearful supporters in Washington. "Here's the thing: Sometimes the fight takes a while."

Analysis: "No longer can the political establishment write off Trump as a temporary break from the long march of progress," Peter Baker, our White House correspondent, writes. "With his comeback victory to reclaim the presidency, Trump has now established himself as a transformational force reshaping the United States in his own image."

From Opinion:

2024

What to expect from a Trump presidency

People next to a street crossing looking up at a screen with images of Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump.
Watching news of the U.S. presidential election in Tokyo, on Wednesday. Richard A. Brooks/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Global consequences for Donald Trump's victory

The results of this week's election have left America's allies and adversaries alike preparing for another four years of unpredictability and "America first" protectionism that could reset the global order. Here's how it may affect the world.

Times correspondents shared thoughts on how the coming Trump administration could affect different regions.

"Chinese officials do see a potential upside if Donald Trump pulls the United States back from its role as a global leader. That could provide China with an opportunity to fill the vacuum." — David Pierson, China correspondent.

"During Trump's first term, his engagement with the African continent fluctuated from disdain to neglect — he did not visit the continent once." Abdi Latif Dahir, East Africa correspondent.

"Donald Trump's victory is a setback to the world's attempt to rein in dangerous levels of warming." Somini Sengupta, international climate reporter.

Read more analysis, including what the results mean for NATO, India and the Middle East.

In the U.S.: Trump has promised to deport millions of immigrants living in the country illegally. He has centered his economic plans around large tariffs that could jolt the global economy and increase inflation in the U.S. He has suggested that he might tap Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to reshape the public health sphere.

For more: "Trump's first term was this odd mix of 'not my problem' and military threats. It's unpredictable, and he revels in the unpredictability." Read an interview with David Sanger, a White House and national security correspondent for The Times.

How are you approaching Trump's second term? What are the things you'd like to see happen in the next four years? To share your thoughts, fill out this form.

TV screens under a sign that reads
Network television screens play news of Donald Trump victory on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Timothy A. Clary/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

How Trump could affect the economy

In the hours after Donald Trump's conclusive victory, stocks surged to record highs, the dollar strengthened around the world, and government bond yields soared. It was a sign, analysts said, that traders anticipated government spending, lighter regulation, bigger deficits and accelerating growth.

Economists have warned that Trump's proposals could make inflation worse. For months, high prices have weighed heavily on consumer confidence, even though the unemployment rate is very low and companies have been hiring. Much of Trump's strategy hinges on cutting gas prices — and inflation — through deregulation and geopolitical maneuvering.

How the Trump administration will handle policy decisions that are crucial to the global economy's path — on trade, technology, climate, industrial policy, the threat and opportunity of A.I. and more — is still unclear.

By the numbers: The S&P 500 rose 2.5 percent, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index moved almost 3 percent higher. The Dow lurched 3.6 percent higher. The Russell 2000 jumped almost 5 percent, its biggest one-day increase in roughly two years as well.

Big-money politics: Trump largely let Elon Musk run his $175 million ground game — a gamble that allowed an ultrawealthy donor to take advantage of America's evolving campaign-finance system.

MORE TOP NEWS

A man in a suit with a serious expression, flanked by several other people whose faces are obscured, looks into the distance.
Eric Lee/The New York Times

SPORTS NEWS

MORNING READ

People in a darkened room hold up their arms as a large screen above them reads
Haiyun Jiang for The New York Times

How exactly did Donald Trump win the election? He made gains in every corner of the country and with nearly every demographic group. Dive into the data.

CONVERSATION STARTERS

ARTS AND IDEAS

A brightly colored illustration shows four women clustered in front of a theater dressing room mirror. At the top is a woman with a blond bob and Harley Quinn makeup. She is applying her mascara with one hand and the other hand is applying eye shadow on a woman with a short pixie cut dressed as Fantine from
Kezia Gabriella

Reinventing the 'theater kid' label

For a long time, "theater kid" was an insult in Hollywood, with connotations of being annoying, try-hard or essentially uncool. "The public wanted stars to feel effortless; theater kids were full of effort and wanted you to know it," our critic writes. "They were the equivalent of the class know-it-all."

But times are changing. Recently, stars like Sabrina Carpenter, Ariana Grande and Lady Gaga have elevated the virtue of showmanship with an elaborate commitment to performances that embody the theater-kid ethos.

For more: We interviewed Grande and Cynthia Erivo, who star in "Wicked," a prequel to "The Wizard of Oz" adapted from Broadway.

We hope you've enjoyed this newsletter, which is made possible through subscriber support. Subscribe to The New York Times.

RECOMMENDATIONS

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Linda Xiao for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Monica Pierini.

Cook: This creamy, cheesy, crunchy pasta bake is a vegetarian dish that's got it all.

Read: Escape to a fantasy world with these immersive, adventurous books.

Wear: Ripped jeans have managed to remain in style.

Treat: You can hand wash all of your clothes, even the delicate stuff.

Listen: These songs will make you love the vibraphone.

Play the Spelling Bee. And here are today's Mini Crossword and Wordle. You can find all our puzzles here.

That's it for today's briefing. See you tomorrow. — Natasha

Reach Natasha and the team at briefing@nytimes.com.

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