Good morning. We're covering the day after the election — as well as Benjamin Netanyahu, smog in Pakistan and cheese storage.
Trump's majorityFor much of the past year, Democrats comforted themselves with recent election results. Yes, the 2024 polls looked tight, but when it really mattered — when people went to the polls to vote — Democrats won again and again. In 2022, they kept Senate control and nearly won the House, defying the usual midterm curse for the president's party. This pattern led many Democrats to hope that Donald Trump and his MAGA allies were so extreme that they had created an electoral majority in opposition to them. That hope helped explain why President Biden based his initial campaign message around Trump's threat to democracy and why Kamala Harris called Trump a fascist late in her campaign. It also explained why she and her advisers ran such a cautious campaign, one that didn't break with Biden in major ways or offer a clear rationale for a Harris presidency. But the Democratic belief in an anti-Trump majority always had a flaw. In midterm and special elections — the elections that gave Democrats confidence — voter turnout is much lower than in a presidential election. People who vote in off-year elections are more politically engaged. They tend to be older, more educated and more affluent, and feel more trust in the country's institutions. The presidential electorate, like the overall population, includes more people who feel alienated and cynical. They were less persuaded by Harris's message that Trump was a radical who would upend the country's establishment. They may appreciate Trump's radicalism.
Polls repeatedly showed that the Democrats' emphasis on democracy wasn't persuading swing voters. (In post-election interviews, voters said they worried about paying the rent, not about an endangered country.) Many voters also weren't deterred by the Republicans' unpopular stance on abortion, another subject that often fails to move votes in a general election. Most Americans still don't have a favorable view of Trump, which helps explain why this election was "no landslide," as my colleague Nate Cohn put it. But there was never an enduring anti-Trump majority among the presidential electorate. After all, he nearly won re-election four years ago, despite the chaos of the Covid pandemic. The Democrats' electoral success since then — all of it in lower-turnout elections — distracted the party from developing a coherent message aimed at the swing voters of 2024. This year's election was never going to be easy for Democrats, given the anti-incumbent energy in much of the world. But the party made it harder by putting too optimistic a spin on the election results of the past few years. As Trump prepares to govern again, Democrats are left to figure out how they can appeal, as they once did, to frustrated voters who don't want to hear promises of stability and paeans to the political establishment. Those frustrated Americans helped make up the electoral majority this week. How Trump won
Where Trump won
The day after
House results
Senate results
More election results
Democrats' response
Trump's next administration
Opinions Democrats lost because they dismissed inflation and immigration and because they have become a party of pontification and pomposity, Bret Stephens argues. Trump's and Harris's campaigns pitted men against women. Men won, Maureen Dowd writes. Here's a column by David Brooks on the Democrats' failure.
Test your attention: Look at this painting — Edward Hopper's "Manhattan Bridge Loop" — for 10 minutes, uninterrupted. 'It' pants: For fashion enthusiasts, wearing these pants is akin to carrying a flashy designer handbag. Wildlife: To understand how vampire bats get their energy, scientists put them on a treadmill. Lives Lived: Geoff Capes, who won the World's Strongest Man competition twice, could pull 12-ton trucks uphill, flip cars and tear phone books in half. He died at 75.
N.F.L.: The Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce defended his brother, Jason, who slammed a heckler's phone onto the ground last weekend. M.L.B.: The Los Angeles Dodgers superstar Mookie Betts will move back to the infield for next season, the team's general manager said.
You may be storing cheese wrong. Times Cooking has compiled a guide on how to keep and serve your cheese, and when to toss it. Here's an excerpt: Experts across the field agree that cheese paper is ideal for wrapping everything except fresh cheeses like ricotta, feta and mozzarella (which should stay in their original packaging with their brine). And yes, for cheeses cut in pieces that you buy wrapped in plastic, it's a good idea to rewrap if you'd like them to last longer. More on culture
Bake Alfredo pasta with broccoli rabe and lemon. Read a fantasy novel. These are our editor's picks. Travel with this compact hair dryer.
Here is today's Spelling Bee. Yesterday's pangram was jellybean. And here are today's Mini Crossword, Wordle, Sudoku, Connections and Strands. Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. —David Correction: Yesterday's newsletter misidentified the location of Trump's victory speech. It was in West Palm Beach, Fla., not at his resort, Mar-a-Lago. Sign up here to get this newsletter in your inbox. Reach our team at themorning@nytimes.com.
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jueves, 7 de noviembre de 2024
The Morning: The Democrats’ mirage
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