January 10, 2024

Good morning. We're covering the Democratic Party's shifting immigration position — as well as extreme weather, Ecuador and psychedelics.

Joe Biden at the border last year. Doug Mills/The New York Times

A Trump effect

Since Donald Trump first ran for president in 2016, the Democratic Party has changed its own approach to immigration. Not long ago, leading Democrats supported immigration enforcement measures like tough border security and deportations. Today, much of the party is uncomfortable doing so.

These changes help explain why the issue has become so vexing for President Biden and congressional Democrats. Illegal immigration has surged during Biden's presidency, partly because of the party's new approach: Many migrants have come to believe, reasonably, that they will be able to remain in the U.S. so long as they can reach the border. Many voters are unhappy about the situation, and polls suggest that it is a problem for Biden.

"Believe it or not, there is something that might hurt President Biden's re-election chances more than inflation," Greg Ip of The Wall Street Journal recently wrote.

With Congress having returned from its holiday recess, a bipartisan group of senators is negotiating over a bill that would tighten border security (as well as provide aid to Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan). To help you understand the debate, today's newsletter will trace the Democratic Party's changing position. In a follow-up newsletter, I'll look at public opinion on immigration.

Bernie vs. Wall Street

Before Trump's presidency, Democrats tended to combine passionate support for the rights of immigrants already in this country with strong support for border security.

Bernie Sanders was an example. He favored pathways to citizenship for undocumented immigrants and opposed long detentions for immigrants arrested at the border. At the same time, Sanders worried about the effects of immigration on workers' wages.

"There is a reason why Wall Street and all of corporate America likes immigration reform, and it is not, in my view, that they're staying up nights worrying about undocumented workers," Sanders said in 2015. "What I think they are interested in is seeing a process by which we can bring low-wage labor of all levels into this country to depress wages for Americans, and I strongly disagree with that."

Barack Obama also embodied this nuanced combination. In his acceptance speech at the 2008 Democratic National Convention, Obama said, "Passions may fly on immigration, but I don't know anyone who benefits when a mother is separated from her infant child or an employer undercuts American wages by hiring illegal workers."

It's hard to imagine a leading Democrat making a similar statement today. Trump's harsh anti-immigration stance — including lies, racist scapegoating and family separations — sent many Democrats scurrying in the other direction. Much of the party left behind its old approach.

By 2020, top Democrats were instead calling for the decriminalization of the border. On Capitol Hill, Democrats spoke more positively about immigration than any party had in the country's history, according to an analysis of congressional speeches. During Biden's campaign, he encouraged immigrants to come and later appointed advocates of looser immigration policies to his administration, as Dexter Filkins of The New Yorker has noted. Today, liberals describe border-security measures that the Democratic Party once would have favored as severe, cruel or "Trump-era."

Real-world effects

This new stance is rooted in a serious political argument: namely, a humanitarian case for allowing poor people to improve their lives by moving to the U.S. To put it another way, many Democratic politicians favor higher levels of immigration than federal law allows.

The shift has had real-world consequences. People in other countries have sensed that the U.S. has become more welcoming, even to migrants without permission to enter. Within weeks of Biden taking office, migration surged.

A chart shows annual southwestern border apprehensions from 2000 to 2023. Fiscal year 2023 was the second year in a row in which the number of border encounters surpassed 2 million.

Source: U.S. Customs and Border Protection | By The New York Times

The surge has clearly had downsides. Dangerous child labor, by migrant children who arrive at the border alone and are often admitted, has increased in the U.S. (This Times map shows where they are living.) Some border communities are overwhelmed. Social services in major cities are strained.

Many Democrats, to be clear, are unhappy about these developments. The governors of Arizona, Colorado, Illinois and New York have all complained. Mayor Oscar Leeser of El Paso, Texas, said this fall that his city had reached "a breaking point." Henry Cuellar, a House Democrat who represents a Texas border district, has said that Trump went too far in one direction and Biden has gone too far in the other. Senator John Fetterman of Pennsylvania has criticized progressives for ignoring border security.

Biden himself seems torn. His administration announced a border crackdown last year and, not surprisingly, migration briefly fell. But the crackdown was modest, and the surge soon resumed.

Now, congressional Republicans are insisting on tougher policies as their price for passing more aid to Ukraine. The policies could include more rigorous asylum screenings — to determine which migrants have a credible fear of political repression — and faster deportation for people who don't qualify for legal entry.

Talks between the two parties have made progress, and a deal might happen soon. But obstacles remain. Progressive Democrats genuinely oppose many border-security measures. And some Republicans wonder if they would be better off if the deal collapsed and their party could instead run in 2024 against Democrats' immigration record.

Continue reading the main story

THE LATEST NEWS

Trump Legal Cases

A police car and police officer in front of barriers and a line of people outside of a courthouse in Washington.

Federal District Court in Washington. Valerie Plesch for The New York Times

A federal appeals court seemed skeptical of Donald Trump's claim that he's immune from prosecution over actions that he took while president. The case involves his efforts to overturn the 2020 election.
"I think it's paradoxical to say that his constitutional duty to take care that the laws be faithfully executed allows him to violate the criminal law," one judge said.
Another judge asked Trump's lawyer whether, hypothetically, a president could be charged if he ordered Navy SEALs to kill a political rival. (The lawyer said not unless the president had first been found guilty in an impeachment proceeding.)
Unusually, Trump showed up in person at the appeals court hearing even though he wasn't required to be there. Read more takeaways.
In a separate case, a defendant charged alongside Trump in Georgia accused Fani Willis, the district attorney, of having a romantic relationship with a prosecutor she hired.

More on Politics

Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin's recent hospitalization, which he kept secret for days, followed prostate cancer surgery. The White House ordered cabinet secretaries to notify it if they become unable to perform their duties.
Amalija Knavs — a former Slovenian factory worker and the mother of a first lady, Melania Trump — died at 78.
The Fed's plan to cut interest rates several times this year will make it a political talking point during the 2024 campaign.
Senator Robert Menendez, in a speech on the Senate floor, denied accepting bribes to help Egypt and Qatar and accused the Justice Department of a smear campaign.

Weather

An overturned trunk with snow covering the road.

In Waukee, Iowa. Hilary Swift for The New York Times

Millions of Americans were under flood watches or advisories and faced power outages as extreme weather hit swathes of the country.
Forecasters warned of flooding in cities along the East Coast, including New York and Philadelphia. Severe thunderstorms and apparent tornadoes ripped across the Florida Panhandle.
The High Plains through the Upper Midwest saw blizzard conditions, and an Arctic front in the Pacific Northwest brought several feet of heavy snow.
In Iowa, which has presidential caucuses next week, snow and high winds disrupted Republican campaigning.
Conditions may improve in some parts of the country today. Here's what to expect.

Israel-Hamas War

American and British forces shot down a barrage of missiles and drones in the Red Sea, fired from Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen, U.S. officials said.
The Israeli military said it killed a senior Hezbollah commander in an airstrike.
Nine Israeli soldiers were killed in Gaza and at least eight others were wounded, including an actor in the Netflix series "Fauda."
Arab governments say in public that they won't help plan Gaza's future until there's a cease-fire. But behind the scenes, they're already engaged in discussions.

International

Masked men stormed a TV station in Ecuador, taking hostages as cameras rolled. Violence has erupted across the country after a powerful gang leader disappeared from prison days ago.
In France, President Emmanuel Macron named the 34-year-old Gabriel Attal as prime minister. Attal is the youngest and first openly gay politician to hold the position.
The United States' financial retreat from Ukraine could provide cover for European officials looking to reduce backing for the war.

New York

Members of a Hasidic movement clashed with the police over efforts to fill a secretly built tunnel to its main synagogue in Brooklyn.
"We hadn't realized it was time": New York City began evicting migrant families because of a 60-day stay limit.
City officials manipulated public data for years to hide the realities of the homelessness crisis, an investigation found.

Space

Satellites in the sky over Austria. Christian Bruna/EPA, via Shutterstock

As space companies deploy more satellites, astronomers say they've become a nuisance for telescope operators.
NASA delayed Artemis II, the first U.S. mission to send astronauts close to the moon in more than 50 years, to 2025.

MORNING READS

A large tree with two people standing under it.

In Nucsoara, Romania. Alan Burdick for The New York Times

Forest of Immortal Stories: In Romania, a group is trying to save centuries-old beech trees that have long sustained the humans around them.

Flag No. 98: Adm. Richard E. Byrd was once known around the world for his expeditions to Antarctica. His son was determined to preserve his legacy.

Lives Lived: Herman Raucher turned his teenage memories of a Massachusetts beach town into the hit 1971 movie "Summer of '42." He died at 95.

SPORTS

N.F.L.: The Tennessee Titans fired their coach, Mike Vrabel, after six seasons.

M.L.B.: The Tampa Bay Rays shortstop Wander Franco could be barred from entering the U.S. while facing accusations of sexual abuse of a minor.

Continue reading the main story

ARTS AND IDEAS

A woman in a dark-colored T-shirt and blond hair pulled back in a chignon crouches at the side of a man lying on a shallow mat on the floor. He is wearing a red T-shirt, loose shorts and a black eye mask, and has his arms slightly raised at his side.

Breathing exercises. Damien Maloney for The New York Times

Now breathe … fast: Many health care professionals are seeking formal training in psychedelic therapy, frustrated with the efficacy of traditional interventions for mental health issues like depression and addiction.

A significant question, however, looms for those running training programs: How do you teach an intervention that remains largely illegal? At one program in San Francisco, it involves breathing intensely to create an altered state of consciousness.

More on culture

"Trump is in court so often he enrolled in PreCheck so he can zip through security": Late night hosts discussed Trump's latest day in court.

THE MORNING RECOMMENDS …

A brothy meatball soup in a Dutch oven is shot from above. Greens are scattered among the meatballs.

Johnny Miller for The New York Times

Simmer chicken-cilantro meatballs in a coconut milk broth to make this Thai-inspired soup.

Knock back a zero-alcohol spirit.

Transform your work space with a great desk lamp.

GAMES

Here is today's Spelling Bee. Yesterday's pangram was fidgety.

And here are today's Mini Crossword, Wordle, Sudoku and Connections.

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David

Correction: Yesterday's newsletter misstated the number of raptor species in Africa. There are at least 60, not 42.

P.S. "The 1619 Project," a Hulu series based on a 2019 Times Magazine issue, won an Emmy for outstanding documentary or nonfiction series.

Continue reading the main story

Editor: David Leonhardt

News Editor: Tom Wright-Piersanti

News Staff: Desiree Ibekwe, Lauren Jackson, Sean Kawasaki-Culligan, Brent Lewis, German Lopez, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Ashley Wu

News Assistant: Lyna Bentahar

Saturday Writer: Melissa Kirsch

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