How the election could unfold: four scenarios

These plausible outcomes might seem obvious in hindsight.

View in browser|nytimes.com November 5, 2024 The 2024 election is close and deeply uncertain. One reason? On paper, neither side ought to win. Nonetheless, one candidate is going to be elected president. Emily Elconin for The New York Times Here are four scenarios for what could happen. → MORE COVERAGE Get updates and analysis from our reporters. → How does the Electoral College work? The New York Times for Kids breaks it down. → Declaring a winner may take time, but early results could hold clues. → Here's when polls close in each state. → Sign up for the On Politics newsletter. Your guide through Election Day and beyond, with the latest race results, expert analysis and key takeaways. Get it in your inbox Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance. You received this message because you signed up for updates from The New York Times. To stop receiving From The Times, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, manage your email settings. To opt out of updates and offers sent from The Athletic, submit a request. Subscribe to The TimesGet The New York Times app Connect with us on: Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018