Opinion: What Nate Silver’s gut says about the election

But he doesn't want you to trust it.

View in browser|nytimes.com October 25, 2024 Nate Silver has a gut feeling about who will win the presidential election. But he doesn't think you should put any value on anyone's gut — including his, he writes in Times Opinion. Illustration by The New York Times; source photographs by Cj Gunther/Shutterstock and Sean Rayford/Getty Images Opinion Read the guest essay. → Sign up for the Opinion Today newsletter Get expert analysis of the news and a guide to the big ideas shaping the world every weekday morning. Get it in your inbox Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance. You received this message because you signed up for updates from The New York Times. To stop receiving From The Times, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, manage your email settings. To opt out of updates and offers sent from The Athletic, submit a request. Subscribe to The TimesGet The New York Times app Connect with us on: Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018