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Monday Briefing: Ukraine confirms 31,000 of its soldiers have been killed

An Israeli push into Rafah even with a cease-fire and Belarus's predictable election
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Morning Briefing: Europe Edition

February 26, 2024

Good morning. We're covering Ukraine's announcement that 31,000 of its soldiers have been killed in the two-year war, and an Israeli push into Rafah, cease-fire or not.

Plus: The astronomical cost of owning an English soccer team.

A woman crying at her husband's grave in a cemetery adorned with many blue-and-yellow Ukrainian flags.
A woman visiting the grave of her husband, a Ukrainian soldier killed in the war. Lynsey Addario for The New York Times

31,000 Ukrainian soldiers killed so far, Zelensky said

Some 31,000 Ukrainian soldiers have been killed since Russia's full-scale invasion began two years ago, Ukraine's president, Volodymyr Zelensky, said. It is the first time he has announced a concrete figure for Ukraine's toll.

Zelensky declined to disclose the number of wounded or missing soldiers, saying that Russia could gauge the size of Ukraine's active forces with that information. His tally could not be independently verified.

Last summer U.S. officials estimated far higher losses, saying that close to 70,000 Ukrainians had been killed and 100,000 to 120,000 had been wounded. Russia's military casualties, the officials said, were about twice as high.

Zelensky's acknowledgment comes as Ukraine is running short of soldiers and ammunition. A week ago, Moscow captured the city of Avdiivka.

Hope: A majority of Ukrainians remain optimistic despite their country's seemingly dire circumstances, according to independent polls.

Intel: The U.S. and Ukraine have a longstanding intelligence partnership that has resulted in collaborations like a C.I.A.-supported network of spy bases that includes 12 secret locations along the Russian border.

A child looking at a terrain of ruins from a damaged building,
Gazan health authorities said that nearly 30,000 Gazans have died in the war. Mohammed Abed/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Netanyahu said Israeli forces would move into Rafah, cease-fire or not

Israel's prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, said that Israeli forces would push into the city of Rafah regardless of the outcome of talks to pause the fighting. A cease-fire would delay any move into the city, he added.

Rafah, a city in southern Gaza, has become a refuge for hundreds of thousands of Palestinians during the war. The military push toward Rafah has drawn warnings from the U.S., Israel's closest ally, because of the potential for mass civilian casualties.

Netanyahu's comments came as an Israeli delegation prepared to leave for Qatar for talks about a temporary cease-fire with Hamas and the release of some hostages held in Gaza.

Aleksandr G. Lukashenko sitting at a desk between two flags and drapes.
President Aleksandr Lukashenko has ruled Belarus for 30 years. Nanna Heitmann for The New York Times

Belarus's predictable elections

Belarus offered an alternative to the unpredictability of democracy in its parliamentary elections on Sunday: a vote without a single candidate critical of the East European nation's despotic leader, Aleksandr Lukashenko.

Opposition parties have all been banned — belonging to one is a crime — and the four approved parties taking part in the election have competed only to outdo one another in their displays of unwavering loyalty to Lukashenko.

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THE LATEST NEWS

Europe News

A crane in front of a burned-out apartment complex in Valencia, Spain.
Jose Jordan/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Around the World

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Joao Silva/The New York Times

Science and Tech

Awards and Festivals

Opinion

  • Bret Stephens details four ways President Biden can make Vladimir Putin pay for the death of Aleksei Navalny.
  • The story of Chaim Soutine, a brilliant Jewish artist who died in 1943 in occupied France, can be told as a war between the force of his will and the force of history, writes Celeste Marcus.
  • Habituation, or our tendency to respond less and less to things that are constant or that change slowly, may be part of the reason that people sometimes don't react to the horrors that surround them, Tali Sharot and Cass Sunstein write.

A Morning Read

Two soccer teams are playing on a green field. Stands run along part of the field's sideline.
Mary Turner for The New York Times

An inflationary effect has rippled through the strata of English soccer, now that a stake in Premier League juggernauts like Manchester United is out of reach to all but those with wealth akin to that of a nation state. There are dozens of investors pouring vast sums into teams in the semiprofessional National League and even into the sprawling, hyperlocal amateur tiers below that.

The result is that England's minor soccer leagues have become a place where even the very rich can feel poor.

Lives lived: Alfred Grosser was a French political scientist and historian who played a major role in conciliating France and Germany after World War II. He died at 99.

SPORTS NEWS

Modern soccer: This is England's golden age.

Bukayo Saka: A portrait of the soccer player, as told by his former teammates.

Formula 1 testing: What can we learn from the preseason?

SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICA

A man in a gray suit and tie stands on a motorcycle, anchored by the driver and a man seated behind him. People run alongside the vehicle.
Katumba Badru/National Geographic

The power of an Oscar

For the Ugandan opposition politician Bobi Wine and his wife, Barbie Kyagulanyi, an Oscar-nominated film feels like a bulletproof vest.

That's what they said about the film "Bobi Wine: The People's President," one of the nominees this year for best documentary feature.

Wine is a leading opponent of President Yoweri Museveni, who has been in power since 1986. The film examines the 2021 presidential election in Uganda. Wine, who is also a popular singer in the country, has been arrested multiple times and has been held under house arrest.

The film shows Kyagulanyi's determination to free her husband, as well as tender moments between the couple. "The more the world knows about our plight, the safer we become," Wine said in an email. "An Oscar win would mean life secured."

The Oscars will be held on March 10 in Los Angeles.

— Lynsey Chutel, a Briefings writer in Johannesburg.

We hope you've enjoyed this newsletter, which is made possible through subscriber support. Subscribe to The New York Times.

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That's it for today's briefing. Thank you for spending part of your morning with us, and see you tomorrow. — Dan

You can reach Dan and the team at briefing@nytimes.com.

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