miércoles, 11 de septiembre de 2024

The Morning: The Harris-Trump debate

Plus, Congress, California wildfires and marriage tuneups
The Morning

September 11, 2024

Good morning. We're covering the Harris-Trump debate — as well as Congress, California wildfires and marriage tuneups.

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump behind  lecterns. She is watching him speak, her head tilted and a hand under her chin.
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump Doug Mills/The New York Times

A good night for Harris

Debating has long been a Kamala Harris strength. It resembles courtroom argument, a core part of her career as a prosecutor. A debate helped her win her first statewide race in California, 14 years ago. In her only vice-presidential debate four years ago with Mike Pence, polls showed that she won.

And she certainly seemed to win last night's debate with Donald Trump.

She was calm and forceful and repeatedly baited Trump into looking angry. As Trump told lies — about Obamacare, inflation, crime, immigrants eating household pets and more — she smiled, shook her head and then called him on the lies. She often looked directly at him or the camera; he seemed unwilling to look at her and looked mostly at the moderators.

During the debate, prediction markets shifted a few points toward Harris. Many political analysts, including conservatives, also judged Harris to be the winner — two-and-a-half months after many of those same analysts said Trump had trounced President Biden in their debate:

  • "Y'all, this is not going well for Trump. Don't get mad at me for saying so," Erick Erickson, the conservative commentator, wrote on social media. He also accusing the moderators of being biased against Trump — a common Republican argument last night. (The Times's media correspondent analyzed the moderators' performance.)
  • "I think she's winning this. She comes across as normal, clear, and strong. Trump can't land a blow — he is blustering and unfocused," Rod Dreher, the Christian conservative, wrote.
  • "Trump looked old tonight," Chris Wallace, the longtime Fox News host who now works for CNN, said.
  • At least one person who isn't a political analyst also seemed influenced by the night. "Like many of you, I watched the debate tonight," Taylor Swift wrote on social media afterward. "I will be casting my vote for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz."

Will it matter?

A seated crowd in a bar watching a split-screen from the debate on a wall-mounted television.
A debate watch party in Arizona.  Adriana Zehbrauskas for The New York Times

There are a couple of important caveats.

First, Harris didn't have a perfect night. She often ignored the questions from ABC's moderators — like the opening question about whether Americans are better off than four years ago, as well as questions about her changed positions on fracking and other subjects. She recited her talking points instead.

She made a few false or misleading statements (though many fewer than Trump), including about the unemployment rate when he left office. She described her policies in ways that weren't always easy to understand. In Trump's closing statement, he parried her many promises by pointing out that she has been vice president for three-and-a-half years and asked, "Why hasn't she done it?"

Second, it is uncertain how much Harris's strong overall performance will matter. "Hillary Clinton also won the debates against Donald Trump," Julia Ioffe of Puck News noted. The same prediction markets that shifted toward Harris last night continue to show the election as a tossup. The debate's impact will become more evident as new polls emerge in coming days. But Harris's campaign seemed very pleased with how last night went.

More on tactics

Six images of Kamala Harris with distinctly different facial expressions.
During the debate. The ABC News Presidential Debate
  • Body language spoke loudly. The debate began with a handshake (Harris walked over and introduced herself to Trump, as they had never met in person). Later, she used her expressions to signal her distaste.
  • Many of Harris's answers seemed aimed at Trump's ego. She mocked his rallies as boring, and said that world leaders laughed at him and that he was "fired by 81 million people." Trump at times appeared scattered and shouted into his microphone.
  • Trump spoke longer than Harris did overall, but Harris spent more time attacking Trump, as these charts show.
  • Harris's campaign immediately challenged Trump to a second debate. Trump said he'd "have to think about it."

More on issues

  • Abortion: Trump defended the overturning of Roe v. Wade and declined to say whether he would veto a national abortion ban. Harris deftly attacked Trump's stance, but she declined to say whether she supported restrictions on abortion in the third trimester. (The Times's Jonathan Swan noted, "Trump has made clear to advisers that he believes the abortion issue alone could cost him the election.")
  • Threats to democracy: Trump refused to acknowledge that he lost the 2020 election and falsely claimed he had "nothing to do with" the Jan. 6 Capitol attack, blaming Nancy Pelosi.
  • Immigration: Trump repeatedly pivoted to discuss immigration, where polls favor him. Harris countered that Trump pushed Republicans to kill a bipartisan border-security bill, saying he "would prefer to run on a problem instead of fixing a problem."
  • Ukraine: Trump wouldn't say whether he wanted Ukraine to win the war with Russia. Harris said that Vladimir Putin would be "sitting in Kyiv" if Trump were president.
  • Health care: Asked if he had a plan to repeal and replace Obamacare, which he has promised for years, Trump said he had "concepts of a plan."
  • Biden's record: Harris largely deflected Trump's efforts to link her to Biden, calling herself "a new generation of leadership." But she defended Biden's decision to withdraw from Afghanistan and much of his administration's work.
  • Here are the night's best, worst and most surprising lines and six takeaways.

Commentary

  • The political consultant Frank Luntz praised the debate moderators, ABC's David Muir and Linsey Davis, for "covering a wider range of topics than most debates. Perhaps it was because they knew this might be the only debate of this election cycle."
  • ABC News was the "biggest loser" of the night and the moderators "embarrassed themselves" by only fact-checking Trump, Liz Peek wrote at Fox News.
  • "Trump has done nothing to capitalize on the fact that one-third of voters nationally (more in the swing states) feel like they don't know enough about Harris. He is not defining her. He's taking her bait," National Review's Noah Rothman wrote.
  • Late night hosts joked about the debate. "Harris got under his skin like she was stuffing in butter and rosemary. It was beautiful," Stephen Colbert said.

THE LATEST NEWS

Sept. 11

  • Today is the 23rd anniversary of the Sept. 11 attacks. Harris and Trump are both expected to attend memorial events in New York City and in Shanksville, Pa., where Flight 93 crashed.
  • Many Sept. 11 responders developed cancer in the years that followed. Some of their families are still fighting to be recognized.

Politics

  • Several House Republicans pushed back on Speaker Mike Johnson's plan to fund the federal government into next year. Hard-liners said it didn't cut spending enough, while hawks said it would amount to a military spending cut.
  • Johnson's bill includes a measure requiring proof of citizenship to vote. Trump said Republicans should shut down the government unless they received "absolute assurances on Election Security."
  • In Missouri, a measure to restore abortion access will appear on the November ballot, the state's supreme court ruled. Republicans had tried to remove it.
  • Sarah McBride, a Democratic state senator, won her primary for a Delaware House seat. She's poised to become the first openly transgender member of Congress.
  • Nearly 50 million people — one in seven Americans — have gotten health insurance through the Affordable Care Act over the past decade.

Israel-Hamas War

A girl watches people walking around the debris-strewn courtyard of a damaged school building.
A school that housed displaced Gazans in Nuseirat. Bashar Taleb/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
  • Palestinians sheltering in schools in Gaza are trying to keep out armed militants to avoid being targeted by Israeli forces.
  • The Israeli military likely used 2,000-pound bombs in a recent strike on a camp for displaced people, weapons experts said. The U.S. suspended exporting those bombs earlier this year.
  • The Israeli military said that the six hostages whose bodies were recently recovered from Gaza spent their last weeks in a tunnel around 5.5 feet tall.

Other Big Stories

Firefighting vehicles in front of a sky wholly consumed by smoke and flame.
In Riverside County, Calif. Eric Thayer/Associated Press
  • Several fast-moving wildfires threatened homes and forced evacuations in the mountains around Los Angeles, but cooler weather helped firefighters keep them at bay.

Opinions

Margaret Renkl offers an impassioned defense of the so-called trash trees of Tennessee.

Here's a column by Thomas Edsall on the rejection of science.

Readers of The Morning: Don't miss out on a full year of savings.

From in-depth coverage of Decision 2024 to unlimited news and analysis, Games, Cooking, The Athletic and more, subscribe now for only $1 a week for your first year.

MORNING READS

Max Alexander, seen from behind, standing on a rolling chair in a room with wooden shelving and a wood floor. Next to Max is a mannequin wearing a pale green dress.
Max Alexander with one of his creations. Graham Dickie/The New York Times

Next generation: See New York Fashion Week through the eyes of Max Alexander, an 8-year-old with a knack for sewing and a massive online following.

Marriage tuneup: Therapists shared six questions that can bring middle-aged couples closer.

Lives Lived: Will Jennings was an English professor who became a lyricist for musicians including Eric Clapton and Dionne Warwick, and won an Oscar in 1998 for "My Heart Will Go On," the theme from "Titanic." He died at 80.

SPORTS

A New Zealand goal in the 89th minute. B/R Football on X.

Soccer: The U.S. men's national team tied with New Zealand. Just before the game, the U.S. officially named Mauricio Pochettino as its new coach. Our reporters detailed why.

N.F.L.: There's no indication the league is investigating the San Francisco 49ers after an apparent discrepancy around Christian McCaffrey's injury designation. Read a report.

ARTS AND IDEAS

A red record plays music as a hand reaches over to make it stop.
Eric Helgas for The New York Times

A reader wrote to Well, The Times's personal health section, to ask why we get songs stuck in our head — in the reader's case, one by the country artist Kacey Musgraves. Research shows that some elements make a song more likely to become an earworm, including fast tempos and long, sustained notes (as in Whitney Houston's "I Will Always Love You"). Read about the science (and tips to get them out).

More on culture

  • Internet sleuths spent years trying to identify Celebrity Number Six, a woman whose face appeared on a piece of fabric. They finally found her.
  • A gala at New York Fashion Week brought out the stars, including Katy Perry, Orlando Bloom and Viola Davis. See their outfits.

THE MORNING RECOMMENDS …

Julia Gartland for The New York Times

Enjoy a hearty and rich beef stew.

Be ready if your basement floods.

Pick the right cellphone plan.

GAMES

Here is today's Spelling Bee. Yesterday's pangram was docility.

And here are today's Mini Crossword, Wordle, Sudoku, Connections and Strands.

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. —David and Ian

Sign up here to get this newsletter in your inbox. Reach our team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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Editor: David Leonhardt

Deputy Editor: Adam B. Kushner

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Associate Editor: Lauren Jackson

News Staff: Desiree Ibekwe, Sean Kawasaki-Culligan, Brent Lewis, German Lopez, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Ashley Wu

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Saturday Writer: Melissa Kirsch

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